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On May 14, 2025:
As of April 30, 2025, all companies have disclosed their 2024 annual reports. According to SMM statistics, a total of 19 publicly listed firms operate copper smelters. These 19 publicly listed firms are: Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group (000630), Jiangxi Copper Corporation (600362), Jinchuan Group International Resources Co., Ltd. (02362.hk), Daye Nonferrous Metals Group (00661.hk), Yunnan Copper (000878), Zijin Mining (601899), Yuguang Gold and Lead Group (600531), Western Mining Co., Ltd. (601168), Yunnan Tin Co., Ltd. (000960), Shandong Humon Smelting (002237), Zhongjin Gold (600489), Baiyin Nonferrous Group Co., Ltd. (601212), Ningbo Jintian Copper (601609), Huludao Zinc Industry Co., Ltd. (000751), North Copper (000737), Zhejiang Chifoo Holding Group Co., Ltd. (002266), Guangdong Feinan Resources Co., Ltd. (301500), Beijing GEEN Environment Engineering Co., Ltd. (603588), and Shenzhen Zhongjin Lingnan Nonfemet Co., Ltd. (000060).
2024 Production and 2025 Production Plans for Copper Cathode at Each Smelter
According to annual report disclosures and SMM's understanding, the total copper cathode production of the aforementioned 19 copper smelters in 2024 was 10.5558 million mt, with an increase of 642,000 mt, up 6.5% YoY. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) shows that the national production in 2024 was 13.644 million mt, with these 19 enterprises accounting for 77.37% of China's total copper cathode production. This figure increased by 1.04% compared to the same period last year. We expect that with the release of new capacity, industry concentration will increase again in the future.
Regarding the specific situations of each smelter: Only 4 out of the 19 smelters experienced production cuts. Among them, Yunnan Copper had the largest decline, with a significant drop in production due to the relocation of its headquarters smelter. The largest increase was seen at Jiangxi Copper, with an annual copper cathode production of 2.2919 million mt, up 194,600 mt or 9.3% YoY in 2024, continuing to lead the copper industry. This was followed by North Copper, with a production increase of 178,800 mt compared to 2023, reaching 31.32 mt. Then came Jinchuan Group, with a production of 1.3272 million mt, an increase of 158,100 mt compared to 2023.
In addition, based on their 2025 production plans, the total production in 2025 is expected to be 11.4028 million mt, an increase of 847,000 mt or 8%. According to SMM statistics, the new production from domestic smelters from January to May 2025 has already reached 536,400 mt, and it is highly probable that the annual increase of 847,000 mt will be achieved. In 2025, two smelters are expected to increase their production by more than 200,000 mt. Among them, the largest increase is expected to be from Yunnan Copper, with an increase of 254,000 mt, mainly due to the resumption of production after the relocation of the smelter and the commissioning of new smelters. Next is Jinchuan Group, which is expected to increase its production by 252,800 mt, thanks to the commissioning of a new smelter. In addition, due to the tight supply of copper concentrates, six smelters are expected to implement production cuts in 2025, two more than last year. Overall, although copper concentrate TCs hit a record low this year, it has not hindered the expansion pace of copper smelters.
